Wednesday, January 09, 2013

it's past time to start asking questions

In a wake of the debacle that occurred on Monday, I'd like to ask a few questions. They stem from this graph:

2006 #2 Florida 41 14 #1 Ohio State
2007 #2 LSU 38 24 #1 Ohio State
2008 #2 Florida 24 14 #1 Oklahoma
2009 #1 Alabama 37 21 #2 Texas
2010 #1 Auburn 22 19 #2 Oregon
2011 #2 Alabama 21 0 #1 LSU
2012 #2 Alabama 42 14 #1 Notre Dame

This is a graph of the last 7 BCS championship games. The winner in every case represented the SEC, even though it only held the #1 spot going into the game twice out of seven. Not counting 2011, when both teams were SEC, the average margin of victory is over 16 points. Only one of these games (2010) was decided by less than 10, and Oregon was never ahead in that game. In none of these games did the non-SEC team have a lead at halftime or at any point afterward.

In 2006, Ohio St. entered the game seemingly unstoppable, averaging 36 points per game and allowing only 10. They had a Heisman winning quarterback, and a first round tight end and wide receiver. Aside from returning the opening kickoff for a TD, they scored a whopping 7 points on Florida while allowing 41.

In 2007, LSU entered this game with 2 losses, to #18 Kentucky and unranked Arkansas. They hung 10 more points on Ohio St. than anyone else managed all season.

In 2008, Oklahoma had set a record for points scored in one season (702), scoring 60 points in 5 consecutive games, 3 of which games were against ranked opponents. They had not scored less than 35 in any game before this one. Florida held them to 14.

In 2010, #1 Oregon's offense was described as a "death star," clocking in at 49 points and 573 yards per game. Auburn's middle-of-the-pack SEC defense held them to 19. At the end of the game, #1 Oregon had scored fewer points on Auburn than had:
  • #9 Alabama (27)
  • #12 Arkansas (43)
  • #12 South Carolina (27)
  • Georgia (31)
  • Ole Miss (31)
  • Kentucky (34)
  • Clemson (24)
  • Arkansas St. (26)
  • Chattanooga (a non-FBS team) (24)
In 2012, #1 Notre Dame led the nation in scoring defense until this game, averaging 10 points per game. Alabama scored 42 on them. In fact, the Crimson Tide offense had a better than average day against Notre Dame, scoring more points on the Irish than they had against 8 other teams on their schedule, including such powerhouses as Ole Miss, Florida Atlantic, and Western Kentucky.

7 BCS championships. 7 SEC victories. 6 SEC blowouts.

How is this possible? How can one conference possibly have this much success, and four different teams in that conference, seven years in a row? How can they have better production against the best of the non-SEC than against non-AQ patsies on a regular basis?

No comments: